Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL
preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the
upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason
games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do
your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance
to make a ton of money. In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason
selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were
found in my 2007 preseason report I released. A very important thing to remember for this
upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so
previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have
found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.
Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for
the upcoming season: Atlanta - Mike Smith Baltimore - John Harbaugh Miami - Tony Sparano Washington – Jim Zorn OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason
money making trends for each NFC South team. NFC South Atlanta – After last year’s mess in
Atlanta the Falcons start fresh with a new general manager in Thomas Dimitroff
who comes from the Patriots organization and their new head coach will be Mike
Smith who has helped build the solid Jacksonville defense as their defensive
coordinator over the past 5 seasons. I look for Smith to immediately bring in
the Jaguars mentality of a solid running game and a bruising defense. All this
will lead to some very low scoring games this preseason for the Falcons making
the under the strong value play here. Plus have to throw in that no matter who
the head coach has been in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last four years the
Falcons have gone a perfect 4-0 outscoring their opposition 104-42. This year’s
'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on August 22nd when they play
Tennessee at home. Probable preseason quarterback rotations:
Chris Redman, Joey Harrington, Matt Ryan and D.J. Shockley Carolina – With John Fox as head coach the
Panthers are all over the place in the preseason thru the years showing no
consistent trends that we can rely on a yearly basis. Except for one extremely
strong trend that has seen Carolina lose their last preseason game of the year
to the Steelers the last 3 years. So let’s look for this trend to continue this
year as the Panthers pay a visit to Pittsburgh on August 28th. New Orleans – In his 2 years as head coach
of the Saints Sean Payton has gone just 4-5 against the spread. However a nice
value play for this upcoming preseason is that New Orleans has lost 3 of their 4
home games under Payton. Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Drew
Bees, Mark Brunell Tyler Palko Tampa Bay – The Buccaneers have one of the
top preseason trends that we look forward to every year. Tampa Bay has been a
perfect 6-0 in their opening preseason game the last six years. I look for this
trend to easily continue this year with the great quarterback rotation that the
Buccaneers have this preseason.
In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and
some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find
many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put
together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this
preseason that will give you that winning advantage.
Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jake Delhomme, Brett Basanez, Matt
Moore, and Lester Ricard
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