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Home / Articles / NFL Betting: NFC West Preseason Report

NFL Betting: NFC West Preseason Report

Tony  Stoffo
Tony Stoffo

Tony Stoffo is the author of the famous gambling book, Money Management for the Year Round Professional.
By: Tony Stoffo     Date: Aug 4, 2008
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Let me start off by saying that I feel the NFL preseason is a great opportunity to start and build a nice bankroll for the upcoming regular season. Many handicappers have the opinion that the preseason games should be left alone and not bet on. I feel just the opposite. If you do your homework the preseason games offer the betting public a tremendous chance to make a ton of money.  In the 2007 NFL preseason at 10starpicks my preseason selections went a documented 12-3 hitting at a solid 80%. All these plays were found in my 2007 preseason report I released.

In the preseason, many head coaches have a track record of wanting to win and some just don’t care and are just preparing for the regular season. You can find many games this preseason where you can get a definite edge. Below I have put together a list of all 32 teams with a breakdown of things to look for this preseason that will give you that winning advantage.

A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 4 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 4 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Atlanta - Mike Smith

Baltimore - John Harbaugh

Miami - Tony Sparano

Washington – Jim Zorn

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each NFC West team.

NFC West

Arizona – Ken Whisenhunt the former offensive coordinator for the Steelers in his first year as head coach for the Cardinals showed no interest in trying to win any preseason games going 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread.  Plus he showed defense was not one of his top priorities as Arizona in its first 3 preseason games saw the Over be the right side with an average of 56 points being scored. This tendency carried over into the regular season with the Cardinals seeing11 of their 16 games going over the posted total. So right off the bat let’s keep an eye out for some high scoring games from the Cardinals this preseason. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Leinatt, Kurt Warner, Brian St. Pierre, and Anthony Morelli

San Francisco – In Mike Nolan’s 3 years as head coach, the 49ers have gone 8-4 against the spread in the preseason.  However what really sticks out is Nolan’s impressive home record which as seen the 49’ers go 5-1 against the spread.  San Francisco’s two home preseason games this year are against Green Bay and San Diego on August 16th and 29th.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Alex Smith, J.T. O'Sullivan, Shaun Hill, Kyle Wright

Seattle – The Seahawks' head Coach Mike Holmgren doesn’t put much emphasize in preseason games, going 11-13 ATS the last six years. However a strong trend has developed that has seen 10 of the last 14 Seattle games go over the total including 3-1 last year. Definitely something for us to keep your eye on this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Hasselbeck, Charlie Frye, Seneca Wallace, Dalton Bell

St Louis – In his first 2 years as the head coach of the Rams Scott Lineham has only gone 2-6 against the spread, and it’s quite obvious he has no intention of trying to win preseason games. It should also be noted in his 2 dress rehearsal games the Rams were not competitive against  the Chiefs and Raiders making St Louis a definite go against this preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Marc Bulger, Trent Green, Bruce Gradkowski, Brock Berlin

 


 


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