A very important thing to remember for this upcoming preseason is that there will be 11 new head coaches this season, so previous preseason trends for these teams are no longer valid. However I have found some nice hidden trends that can still show us a profit with these teams.

Here are the 11 teams with new head coaches for the upcoming season:

Cleveland - Eric Mangini

Denver – Josh McDaniels

Detroit – Jim Schwartz

Indianapolis – Jim Caldwell

Kansas City – Todd Haley

NY Jets – Rex Ryan

Oakland – Tom Cable (interim coach last season)

St Louis – Steve Spagnuolo

San Francisco – Mike Singletary (interim coach last season)

Seattle – Jim Mora

Tampa Bay – Raheem Morris

OK so here are this year’s highly rated preseason money making trends for each team.

 Arizona – In his 2 years as head coach of the Cardinals Ken Whisenhunt has given as some solid preseason trends to make some money with this year.  Whisenhunt has shown no interest in winning his first or last preseason games going a perfect 0-4. Plus he showed defense was not one of his top priorities as Arizona in the past 2 preseasons has seen the Over be the right side in 6 of the Cardinals 8 games.   So right off the bat let’s keep an eye out for some high scoring games from the Cardinals this preseason. Plus let’s definitely fade them when they play the Broncos on September 3rd. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Leinatt, Kurt Warner, Brian St. Pierre, and Tyler Palko.

Atlanta – Last year in my annual preseason profit report I told you that new head coach   Mike Smith who helped build the solid Jacksonville defense as their defensive coordinator over the past 5 seasons would immediately bring in the Jaguars mentality of a solid running game and a bruising defense. All this will lead to some very low scoring games this preseason for the Falcons making the under the strong value play here. Well this turned into an instant profit as the Falcons saw the under go 3-1 in the preseason.  So let’s continue to keep an eye out on the under once again this year.  Plus have to throw in that in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last 5 years the Falcons have gone a perfect 5-0 outscoring their opposition 121-45. This year’s 'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on August 29nd when they play San Diego at home.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Ryan, Chris Redman, D.J. Shockley, and John Parker Wilson.

Baltimore –   The Ravens in the past four preseason’s have played some really low scoring games with the under going 11-4. This trend continued last season with new head coach John Harbaugh playing it close to the vest as the Ravens watched the under go 3-1. Plus let’s watch the Ravens as a possible play against this year as Harbaugh showed little interest as the preseason progressed losing his last 3 games. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Joe Flacco, Troy Smith, John Beck, and Drew Willy.

Buffalo – This will be Dick Jauron’s fourth preseason as head coach of the Bills.  In the Bills first preseason game Jauron has had them ready to play covering all 3 of his week one preseason games. This continues a trend that has seen the Bills go a perfect 5-0 against the spread in week # 1 of the preseason over the past 5 years. This is developing into one of my strongest preseason trends. This year’s play is on August 9th as the Bills will face the Titans in the Hall of Fame game at Canton, Ohio. Plus have to throw in here that in the past 3 preseason’s the Bills are a perfect 7-0 when they take the field as an underdog. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Trent Edwards, Ryan Fitzpatrick Matt Baker, and Gibran Hamdan.

Carolina – With John Fox as head coach the Panthers he has been all over the place in the preseason thru the years showing no consistent trends that we can rely on a yearly basis. Except for one extremely strong trend that has seen Carolina lose their last preseason game of the year to the Steelers in 3 of the last 4 years. So let’s look for this trend to continue this year as the Panthers host Pittsburgh on September 3rd.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Jake Delhomme, Josh McCown, Matt Moore, and Hunter Cantwell.

Chicago – The Bears under Lovie Smith has just been another team with nothing to write about in the preseason going 7-9 over the past 4 years. However a monster preseason total play has developed over the years with Chicago.  The Bears have seen the 'under' go 6-0 in their last preseason game of the year the past 6 years with 5 of these were against the Browns. This match up occurs again this year on September 3rd  when the Bears host the Browns.  Perfect trend here guys so don’t let this one pass you by.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Jay Cutler, Caleb Hanie, and Brett Basanez.

Cincinnati – Two nice trends have developed for head coach Marvin Lewis over the past 3 preseasons. First the Bengals are a perfect 3-0 in their first preseason game of the year, and secondly boy does Cincinnati finish strong on the preseason also winning the past 3 years including a blowout win at Indianapolis as a dog last season. This year’s two plays are against New Orleans on August 14th and once again against the Colts at home on September 3rd

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Carson Palmer, J.T. O’Sullivan, Jordan Palmer, and Billy Farris.

 Cleveland – With Eric Mangini taking over as the head coach of the Browns it must be said here that Mangini was a money maker as the Jets head coach going 4-1 both straight up and against the spread when he took his team on the road. This year’s first road game for the Browns will be on August 15th when they play the Packers.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Derek Anderson, Brady Quinn, Brett Ratliff, and Richard Bartel.

Dallas – In his first 2 years as the Cowboys head coach Wade Phillips showed no interest at all in trying to win when Dallas took to the road going a perfect 0-4. Definitely a strong trend to follow here with the Cowboys 2 road games this preseason being August 13th against Oakland, and September 4th against Minnesota.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tony Romo, Jon Kitna, Rudy Carpenter, and Stephen McGee. 

Denver – Bill Belichick disciple Josh McDaniels takes over as the Broncos new head coach. With a new coach and 3 new quarterbacks it’s hard to give any recommendations on the Broncos for this preseason. However what really still stands out is the Broncos willingness to dominate in their final preseason game of the year going 8-1 against the spread in their last 9 with their only loss coming back in 04.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Kyle Orton, Chris Simms, and Tom Brandstater.

Detroit – The defensive coordinator of the Tennessee Titans the last eight seasons Jim Schwartz takes over as the new head coach of the 0-16 Lions. Look for Detroit with the new mind set of every new coach with defensive ties to highlight the run and strengthen the defense to play a bunch of fast moving low scoring games this preseason. Plus throw in the weak and inexperienced quarterback rotation that the Lions will feature this preseason, and you can see how all this will lead to some solid plays on the Under in their 4 games. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Daunte Culpepper, Matthew Stafford, and Drew Stanton.

Green Bay – In his first 3 years as the Packers head coach Mike McCarthy has just been around a .500 preseason coach, so no real advantages to jump on here. However a solid trend has developed that has seen the Packers incorporate a wide open gameplan over the past 3 years that has seen the Over go an impressive 9-3 in the preseason. With the same quarterback rotation returning from last year makes for another high scoring preseason and some nice winning tickets once again on the Over in this spot.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Aaron Rogers, Brian Brohm, Matt Flynn

Houston – Gary Kubiak has shown some winning trends as the head coach of the Texans. First let’s look for a strong showing in week # 3 against the Vikings as Kubiak and the Texans have covered all 3 of their dress rehearsal games. Plus have to add in here is that the Texans have seen 7 of their last 8 preseason games go over the total.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Schaub, Dan Orlovsky, Alex Brink.

Indianapolis – With Jim Caldwell taking over as head coach, and with the Colts having a new offensive coordinator, OL coach, and defensive coordinator, will have to just take a step back and just watch what trends develop down the line with the Colts. One trend we still have to watch with Indianapolis is how poorly they play in their last preseason game of the year going 1-6 against the spread the last 7 years. This year the Colts finish out the preseason as they pay a visit to Cincinnati on September 3rd.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Peyton Manning, Jim Sorgi, Chris Crane, and Curtis Painter.

Jacksonville – The Jaguars are sure known for their defense in the regular season. However head coach Jack Del Rio has pulled in the reins during the last 4 preseason’s allowing the Jaguars to open things up offensively as they work on improving their passing game. As a result the over has gone 11-5. Look for this trend to again be a money maker this year as the odds makers continue to post low totals on all of the Jacksonville preseason games. Plus while most teams just want to go thru the motions in their final preseason game, the Jaguars are just the opposite as they have won their last preseason game the last 3 years winning 2 of them outright as a dog.  

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  David Garrard, Cleo Lemon, Todd Bouman, and Paul Smith.

Kansas City – With the Parcells/Belichick disciples Scott Pioli taking over as GM, and Todd Haley taking over as head coach. I look for the Chiefs to turn around their losing ways in the preseason right off the bat as they field one of the strongest quarterback rotations in the preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Cassel, Brodie Croyle, Tyler Thigpen, Ingle Martin 

Miami – Last year I told you “With Bill Parcells taking over as executive VP for football operations of the Dolphins, and surrounding himself with all of his Dallas buddies. Have to look for some improvement from Miami this preseason as Parcells always tried to win in the preseason. Even when he took over a bad Cowboys team he immediately started winning in the preseason.” Well this turned an immediate profit as the Dolphins won 3 of their 4 preseason games last year with 2 of them as an outright dog. Look for this trend to continue this season as Parcells brings in more of his kind of players.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Chad Pennington, Chad Henne, Pat White

Minnesota – In his first 3 years as the head coach of the Vikings Brad Childress has started to show us a strong trend that can help us make some money this preseason. It’s obvious that Childress does not care about the opening preseason game as he just goes thru the motions losing all 3 years that he has been head coach. Plus have to add in here that the Vikings were favorites in all 3 of these losing efforts. This year’s preseason opener is against the Colts on August 14th.  

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tarvaris Jackson, Sage Rosenfels, John David Booty, and Sean Glennon.

New England – Belichick and the Patriots used to be a big money maker in the preseason thru the years. However since the Super Bowl rings have started to add up the preseason has just become a waste of time. The only game that Belichick tries in now is the Patriots dress rehearsal game where they have gone 5-2 against the spread the last 7. This year’s dress rehearsal game is against the Redskins on the road on August 28th.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Tom Brady, Matt Gutierrez, Kevin O'Connell, Brain Hoyer.

New Orleans – In his 3 years as head coach of the Saints Sean Payton has gone just 6-7 against the spread. However a nice value play for this upcoming preseason is that New Orleans has lost 5 of their 6 home games under Payton.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Drew Bees, Mark Brunell, Tyler Palko

New York Giants – Head coach Tom Coughlin has always stressed defense when it comes to winning in the regular season. Well nothing is different in the preseason as the Giants have seen 8 of their last 12 preseason games stay under the listed total.  A strong play every year is when the Giants match up with the Jets as this game has gone under the total for 4 straight years.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Eli Manning, David Carr, Andre Woodson.

New York Jets – With Rex Ryan as defensive coordinator with Baltimore over the past 4 seasons saw the Ravens play some very low scoring games in the preseason seeing the under be the right side in 11 of the last 15 Ravens games. With him now head coach of the Jets I look for him to instill the Ravens tough defense tendencies on this Jets defense which will lead to a bunch of under plays for this preseason, and remember that the Jets will also be starting a rookie quarterback in Mark Sanchez. So the Jets offense this preseason will be very vanilla at best.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Mark Sanchez, Kellen Clemens, Erik Ainge, and Chris Pizzotti.

Oakland – Tom Cable (interim coach last season) officially takes over as the Oakland head coach this season. Even though we have yet another new head coach here, we still have a couple of solid trends to checkout for the Raiders this preseason. First of all Oakland is 5-1 against the spread at home over the past 3 years. Plus they are a solid 13-4 under during the past 4 years no matter who the coach is. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: JaMarcus Russell, Jeff Garcia, Andrew Walter, and Bruce Gradkowski.

Philadelphia – Andy Reid and the Eagles show no trends that we can take advantage of going 14-15 in the preseason over the last 7 years. However we still can make a ton of money on the Eagles as Reid doesn’t go all out in the first preseason game of the year going a perfect 0-5 in their opener not winning their first preseason game since 03. The Eagles open up this year against the Patriots at home on August 13th.   

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Donovan McNabb, AJ Feeley, Michael Vick, and Adam DiMichele

Pittsburgh – In last year’s Preseason Profit report I told you that Mike Tomlin took over as the new head coach of the Steelers. Tomlin was the Minnesota Vikings' defensive coordinator in 2006 after spending the previous five seasons as defensive backs coach for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. In his first preseason as defensive coordinator last year with the Vikings defense ruled in the preseason with Minnesota giving up only 16, 10, 7, and 10 points. May be something we can take advantage of in his first preseason as head coach of the Steelers.  Well this information was right on as the Steelers saw 4 of their 5 preseason games stay under the total. This builds on a strong trend that has now seen the under go 11-2 over the past 3 preseason’s for the Steelers. This is a solid trend here guys so keep your eyes on this total play this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Ben Roethlisberger, Charlie Batch, Dennis Dixon, Mike Reilly.

St Louis – The Giants recent defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo takes over as the new head coach of the Rams. And with his new style of offense which will feature a run oriented gameplan the Greatest Show on Turf is now a thing of the past in St Louis. This automatically sets up for some low scoring game this preseason, so let’s take a serious look at the under before the odds makers make the necessary adjustments to the Rams posted totals especially in their early games this preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Marc Bulger, Kyle Boller, Keith Null

San Diego – This will be Norv Turner’s third year as head coach of the Chargers. In Turner’s last head coaching job with the Raiders back in 04 and 05 a solid trend can be taken away from it that can give us an edge for the Chargers preseason games.  First of all in both of his dress rehearsal games in Oakland the Raiders went 0-2 against the spread, this trend has continued as Turner has not covered his dress rehearsal game the first two years in San Diego making him a perfect 0-4 ATS.  So let’s watch for when the Chargers play the Falcons on August 29th this year. After reading my write-up on the Falcons this game can be my strongest release of the entire preseason.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Phillip Rivers, Billy Volek, Charlie Whitehurst

San Francisco – This will be Mike Singletary’s first preseason as head coach of San Francisco. Even though we have nothing to go on with Singletary, with the intensity that he brings on a daily basis I would say I would keep a very close look on the 49’ers having a very profitable preseason this year. We should have a strong play right off the bat as the 49’ers week # 1 opponent the Raiders have lost their last 5 preseason road contests.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Shaun Hill, Alex Smith, Damon Huard, and Nate Davis.

Seattle – Jim Mora takes over as head coach of the Seahawks. Mora was the Seattle DB coach last season so he was around for this very strong preseason trend for the Seahawks that has seen 13 of the last 18 Seattle games go over the total including 3-1 last year. Plus have to add in here is that Mora in his last season as head coach of Atlanta in 06 saw the over be the right side in 3 of the 4 Falcons preseason games. All this makes the over in the Seahawks preseason games a very strong play for this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Matt Hasselbeck, Seneca Wallace, Jeff Rowe, and Mike Teel.

Tampa Bay – Raheem Morris takes over as head coach of the Buccaneers. Last season Morris was on the Tampa Bay staff as the secondary coach. So he has been around to be a part of this overwhelming preseason trend. The Buccaneers have one of the top preseason trends that we look forward to every year. Tampa Bay has been a perfect 7-0 in their opening preseason game the last seven years.  I look for this trend to easily continue this year with an experienced quarterback rotation that the Buccaneers have this preseason. This year’s preseason opener will be against a Tennessee team that will be coming off of a short week after playing in the Hall of Fame game.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Byron Leftwich, Brian Griese, Luke McCown, and Josh Freeman.

Tennessee – A strong preseason trend has developed for head coach Jeff Fischer over the past 4 years as he has sure opened things up offensively in the Titans last preseason game of the year seeing 182 points scored in these games. This year’s last preseason game is against the Packers on September 3rd. Also have to add here is that these two teams have combined to play these wide open games the last 4 years. So let’s look for more of the same this season.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Vince Young, Kerry Collins, Ingle Martin

Washington – Under head coach Jim Zorn the Redskins continued their losing ways in the preseason that have now seen them go 5-11 over the past 4 seasons. Something to really watch for is that Washington has now lost their last preseason game the last 4 years. This year’s opponent in their last preseason game will be the Jaguars on September 3rd. 

Probable preseason quarterback rotations:  Jason Campbell, Todd Collins, Colt Brennan, Chase Daniel.

So as you can see there will be a ton of opportunities this preseason to really start to build our bankroll for the regular season.

**Quarterback rotations subject to change