Chicago Bears has won its last 10 home games when the temperature was at the freezing mark or colder. The temperature is expected to be in the range of 24 to 28 degrees when the teams kick off in the frosty air of Soldier Field on Monday night; the Bears could be in for an underdog cover against the Vikings.

Another statistic that jumps out when examining weather trends is 40-year-old Brett Favre’s struggles in cold weather. Dating back to the 2003 playoffs, Favre has dropped seven games in a row when the temperature is 38 degrees or less at kickoff.

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The weather isn’t the only thing the Vikings (11-3, 8-5-1 ATS) have to overcome when they hook up with the Bears (5-9, 4-10 ATS) on Monday Night Football at Soldier Field.

There are question marks about Favre’s relationship with head coach Brad Childress – and his play of late – heading into the Monday nighter. Favre and Brad Childress got into an argument on the sidelines in the third quarter of Minnesota’s 26-7 loss at Carolina (+9) last week.

Childress wanted to take Brett Favre out of the game because of the amount of pressure the Panthers were putting on the veteran signal caller, even though the Vikes were leading 7-6 at the time. Favre insisted on staying on the field – and he did – but not before Carolina reeled off 20 unanswered points to hand Minnesota its worst defeat of the season.

Favre finished 17-of-27 for 224 yards with an interception for the Vikings, who have dropped two of their last three games both SU and against the number. After putting up 24 touchdowns against only three picks in leading Minny to a 10-1 SU (7-3-1 ATS) start, Favre has three TDs and four INTs in the last three games.

Favre’s recent swoon is reminiscent of his play down the stretch as a member of the New York Jets last season. The Jets jumped out to an 8-3 (7-4 ATS) record behind some strong play from Favre, but he stumbled in the latter part of the schedule, with only two touchdowns to go along with nine interceptions in New York’s last five games. The Jets went 1-4 SU and winless against the number to miss the playoffs.

Is Favre headed down the same ominous path this season? Bettors might not find out on Monday night. The Vikings are likely to offer up a steady dose of Adrian Peterson who, like Favre, hasn’t been at his best lately. Peterson was held to 35 yards rushing on 12 carries with a score last week against Carolina, and is without a 100-yard game over the last five weeks.

Expect Peterson to get plenty of touches against a Chicago run defense that’s allowing 128.5 yards on the ground per game. Over the past two seasons, Minnesota is 15-2 SU when Peterson rushes up the middle at least eight times and only 6-7 SU when he doesn’t. Looks like it’s time for Favre to stop slinging passes over the middle and for the Vikes to get back to leaning on their best offensive weapon. Outside of the cold weather, there’s little reason to take the Bears on Monday night. Chicago fell 31-7 at Baltimore (-10.5) last Sunday to fall to a dismal 1-9 ATS (2-8 SU) in its last 10 contests. Jay Cutler was 10-of-27 for a mere 94 yards passing with three picks against the Ravens before being pulled for backup Caleb Hanie in the fourth quarter. Cutler has a NFL-worst 25 INTs this season, and is in jeopardy of matching Vinny Testaverde’s 30-interception year back in 1988.

Make sure to get an updated injury report before laying down your money on the Monday nighter. Antoine Winfield (foot), Steve Hutchinson (shoulder), Pat Williams (elbow), and Brian Robison (quadriceps) are questionable for Minnesota, while Desmond Clark (illness), Lance Briggs (back), Tommie Harris (knee), Orlando Pace (groin), and Devin Hester (calf) are questionable for Chicago.