Week 15 NFL Preview

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By: BetUS.com     Date: Dec 18, 2009
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If you follow the NFL betting scene, you know all about the Dallas Cowboys’ recent struggles in December. After all, it was only last season the Cowboys were 8-4 headed into the final four games of the regular season before finishing 1-3 and out of the playoffs in the NFC.

Quarterback Tony Romo is only 5-10 in 15 career December starts, and it looks like Dallas is headed down its all-too-familiar path once again this year. The Cowboys fell 20-17 at home to San Diego (+3.5) last week to lose their second straight game this month. Overall, Dallas is only 1-4 ATS (2-3 SU) in its last five contests.

Thing is, you can’t blame Romo for the Cowboys’ last two defeats: Romo has thrown for 641 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions this December.

Dallas at New Orleans (-7, 53.5) – Saturday, 8:20 PM ET

Romo needs to keep the good times rolling for the Cowboys (8-5, 6-7 ATS) to cover in their showdown with the undefeated Saints (13-0, 8-5 ATS) in a special Saturday night game at the Superdome.

The matchup is taking place on Saturday because of Sunday night’s New Orleans Bowl, and the early start is going to hurt Dallas because it’ll likely keep DeMarcus Ware out of the game. Ware was taken off on a stretcher after spraining his neck against the Chargers, and is unlikely to see the field this week.

If Ware is ruled out, the Cowboys will be hard pressed to get pressure on Drew Brees. The Saints are only 2-5 ATS after winning their last two games by a combined six points, but they’re bolstered by playing at the Superdome. New Orleans is averaging 36.7 points per game at home this season.

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San Francisco at Philadelphia (-9, 42.5) – Sunday, 1 PM ET

The surging Eagles (9-4, 8-5 ATS) look to continue their recent dominance of the 49ers (6-7, 8-3-2 ATS) when the teams hooks up on Sunday at Lincoln Financial Field.

Philadelphia has taken three in a row both SU and against the NFL point spread from San Francisco, including a 40-26 win as 4.5-point favorites at Candlestick Park last season.

Winners of four straight (3-1 ATS) and six of eight (5-3 ATS) to sit in first place in the NFC East, the Eagles are likely to be without Jeremy Maclin (shoulder) and Brian Westbrook (concussion) on Sunday.

San Francisco is coming off a 24-9 upset of Arizona on Monday Night Football, although the cover as 4-point home pups didn’t come without a price. Michael Crabtree injured his hip in the payday, and is likely to be listed as questionable when the official injury report is released on Friday.

Chicago at Baltimore (-11, 40.5) – Sunday, 1 PM ET

In the thick of the AFC Wild Card race after an impressive win last week, the Ravens (7-6, 7-6 ATS) are seeing big chalk for their matchup at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday against the Bears (5-8, 4-9 ATS).

Baltimore opened as 9.5-point faves earlier in the week, but it’s been bet up to -11. Bettors are shying away from the underdogs with Chicago having lost eight of its last nine games against the spread (2-7 SU). The Ravens racked up a franchise-record 548 total yards and five rushing touchdowns in their 48-3 pounding of Detroit as 14-point home chalk last week. The victory continued a trend that’s seen Baltimore beat up on the NFL’s lesser lights in recent years: The Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with losing records.

Minnesota at Carolina (+9, 43) – Sunday, 8:20 PM ET

Expect the Panthers (5-8, 6-7 ATS) to rely heavily on their fourth-ranked running game when they battle with the Vikings (11-2, 8-4-1 ATS) on Sunday Night Football at Bank of America Stadium.

With Jake Delhomme (finger) unlikely to start for Carolina, Matt Moore should once again get the call under center. That means a heavy dose of the run for the Panthers, who are averaging 149.9 YPG on the ground this season.

Such an approach could be a problem against Minnesota, which is 4-1-1 ATS (5-1 SU) in its last six games. After leading the NFL in run defense for the past two seasons, the Vikes rank fourth against the run (86.9 YPG) coming off their 30-10 win as 6-point favorites over Cincinnati last week. 


 



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