Travis Wood has made just 5 starts for the Reds this year but already owns a complete game shutout. He is pitching to a 2.76 ERA, and has great stuff. Chris Narveson opened the season in the Brewers bullpen and has been up and don, good game bad game. He has been effective on 4 days rest and the Brewers are 8-2 to the under when he is on 4 days rest, pitching in rotation. Reds have been a big under team on the road at 17-7-1 in their last 25, including 8-1- to the under as a road favorite. They are also 33-16-2 to the under in their last 51 on the road vs a lefthander. I'll play this one under the total.

Mark Buehle has been impressive in each of his last 8 starts, as he has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of them, and the light hitting Mariners aren't exactly a recipe to change that. Jasson Vargas has quietly pitched himself into a top of the rotation pitcher. Vargas has started 20 games allowing 3 or less in 18 of them. Runs are going to be at a premium in this one, as Vargas has pitched in 7 straight unders, and the M's are 17-5-2 to the undr in his last 24 as a dog. This one stays under the total.

Fausto Carmona had a big year in 2007, and injuries have plagued him since recently, where he is getting his swagger back. Pitching for the last place Indians Carmona is 10-7 winning 6 of his last 8, and 4 of the 6 wins were vs winning teams. The Indians have now played 87 out of 100 games vs teams over .500. They are better than their record because of it, and are 15-11 in their last 26, facing all winning teams. Tough to trust A. J. Burnett pitching for a team that is heading for 100+ wins, but the Yanks just 2-7 in his last 9 starts. I'll go with Cleveland here.

Mike Pelfrey opened the season in sparking fashion, starting 4-0 wih an 0.69 ERA. he then had a few bad games and went on to lead the Mets to 6 straight wins, pitching to a 1.65 ERA. It's what has happened in his last 7 starts that has to concern Mets fans. Pelfrey has pitched 32.2 innings allowing 30 runs for an ERA of 8.26. The 32 innings in 7 starts represents just 4+ innings per start. Jamie Darcia has been on everytime out but once for the Cards, as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 18 of 19 starts, and 2 runs or less in 17 of 19. Give me those numbers as a dog, and I'll back them everytime, especially since we are talking about a Mets offense that has produced a total of 32 runs in their last 16 games. St. Louis gets the call.